What was Dr. Ferrer thinking when she made the decision to change from testing 100% of nursing home residents and staff to only about a third? Over the past many months we’ve been fed a message on how the elderly, especially those in long-term care and nursing homes, and by extension the staff are at greatest risk. Now it appears as though Ferrer and her Public Health team have changed their minds. I seem to recall that the original statistic cited by Ferrer was that 1 infected person could potentially infect 5 others. If this is the case it makes complete sense to test all nursing home residents and their staff, because even one person infected in this environment could set off a mini-epidemic.
Keeping in mind that there’s an estimated 14-day window then even more people outside the nursing home could be infected by an infected visitor or staff person (and let’s not forget that often these same staff people work in multiple facilities). It would appear to me that 100% testing would in the long run be money well spent. After all 10 million LA county residents haven’t suspended their lives, businesses, and education to prevent a second wave of the Coronavirus for no reason. Ferrer’s new ruling could easily miss an infected individual who was one of the 90% not tested rendering these sacrifices moot.
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